A brand new ballot exhibits former President Trump is definitely positioned to make the deep blue state of New York — which hasn’t voted for a Republican presidential candidate in 40 years — aggressive in November’s presidential election.
An Emerson School Polling/The Hill/PIX11 ballot launched Thursday confirmed President Biden’s lead within the two-way matchup narrowed to only seven share factors, 48-41. With third-party candidates together with Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West and Jill Stein on the poll, Biden’s lead narrowed to 6 factors: 44-38. Forty-eight % of voters surveyed are registered Democrats; 23% are Republicans, and 29% are Independents. 46 % of voters surveyed got here from New York Metropolis.
“Impartial voters in New York who historically vote for Democrats are leaning towards Trump by a ten-point margin, 43% to 33%, in accordance with exit polling,” stated Spencer Kimball, govt director of Emerson School Polling.
President Biden’s job approval amongst voters dropped to 39% in ballot; 50% are dissatisfied with how he’s performing the duties of the President.
The final time a GOP presidential candidate received New York was President Ronald Reagan’s landslide victory in 1984, when he defeated Democratic presidential candidate Walter Mondale in 49 states and received New York by eight factors.
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Democratic wins in New York since Reagan have been nearly universally lopsided. In 2016, Hillary Clinton beat Trump by 22.5 factors in New York; In 2020, Biden beat Trump by 23.2 factors. In 2012, Barack Obama beat Mitt Romney in New York by 28 factors; He beat John McCain by 26 factors in 2008. In 2004. John Kerry beat George W. Bush by 18 factors in New York; In 2000, Al Gore beat Bush by 25 factors. In 1996, Invoice Clinton beat Robert Dole by about 30 factors; In 1992, Clinton beat George HW Bush by about 16 factors. In 1988, regardless of shedding the overall election by eight factors within the common vote and a large electoral blowout of 426-111, Michael Dukakis defeated George HW Bush by 4 factors in New York.
A Siena School ballot in mid-April confirmed Biden with a 10-point lead in New York.
