CNN’s high information reporter on Friday highlighted some polling tendencies that might spell hassle for President Joe Biden heading right into a fall rematch towards former President Donald Trump.
Senior information analyst Harry Enten instructed Kate Bolduan that Trump’s rally within the Bronx ought to be a priority for Biden despite the fact that Biden received the district simply in 2020 and isn’t in critical hazard of shedding it in 2024.
“You see Obama 94%, Obama 96%, Clinton 92%, Biden received it, however solely by 69 factors,” Enten mentioned, including that whereas Biden’s margin was bigger, it was nonetheless 20+ factors lower than previous Democratic presidents.
Particularly, he warned that non-white voters have been extra more likely to be pro-Trump now than they have been in latest elections, making it more durable for Biden to win to consolidate the coalition.
“It is a signal of the Hispanic motion that we noticed final cycle, proper, the place we noticed that, whereas Hispanics have been nonetheless in favor of the Democratic candidate in Joe Biden, they have been much less more likely to assist him than both Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama, and it did not simply occur there, ” he mentioned. “We have seen it in Hispanic precincts and counties throughout the nation, from Southeast Florida, South Texas, even the Los Angeles space.”
“Have a look at the pattern we’re seeing within the polling proper now, proper? So should you look again at Hispanic voters at this level within the 2020 cycle, Joe Biden had a 25-point lead,” he continued. “Look the place that lead is at present. It is solely seven factors. Donald Trump is now at 44%, if that holds. It will be the very best efficiency for a Republican candidate amongst Hispanic voters since George W. Bush in 2004.”
He mentioned Biden’s finest probability to win is to focus on white voters within the battleground states of the Nice Lakes.
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CNN Senior Knowledge Reporter Harry Enten warns that polling exhibits Joe Biden is in huge hassle. pic.twitter.com/vCryPWmTzF
— Jason Rantz (@JasonRantz) on KTTH Radio May 25, 2024
